Race 6B

saisa-south-spring-tournament-gregg-popp

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Josh Becher 31.3% 22.7% 17.8% 11.8% 9.0% 3.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella DesChamps 21.8% 21.0% 17.5% 14.1% 12.2% 7.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 13.1% 11.7% 18.1% 14.7% 13.8% 13.1% 7.8% 5.2% 2.2% 0.3%
Joseph McNaughton 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 3.9% 7.0% 8.4% 13.8% 24.2% 33.7%
Sofia Scarpa 7.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 12.1% 13.3% 15.6% 12.9% 6.0% 2.8%
Josh Rosen 2.3% 3.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 9.3% 15.0% 23.2% 27.9%
Marco Distel 4.2% 5.2% 7.0% 8.6% 12.3% 14.0% 15.8% 16.3% 10.7% 5.9%
Sailor Mohrman 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.5% 10.8% 15.1% 21.7% 26.2%
Garrett Floerchinger 10.4% 11.2% 12.7% 16.6% 12.6% 13.1% 10.6% 8.4% 3.5% 0.9%
Julian Larsen 6.3% 10.0% 8.8% 11.3% 13.3% 14.7% 14.3% 10.8% 8.2% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.