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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+7.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+4.97vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+2.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+2.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+1.92vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.07vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.07+0.39vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-0.91vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.39-6.88vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-7.30vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.79vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.39Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.09Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.21Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 23.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 21.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 20.0% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.