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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+1.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+1.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.62+0.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.77+0.44vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.17Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.44Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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3.76Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.05Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 23.0% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.9% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 19.8% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 8.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 38.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 21.5% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.