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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+2.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+1.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+0.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83-1.10vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.77-0.46vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.01Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.9Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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4.54Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 18.0% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 17.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 23.0% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 23.4% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 41.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.