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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+2.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+1.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.730.00vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-0.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.77-0.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.0Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.68Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.53Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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2.89Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 12.0% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 20.9% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 22.3% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 7.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 16.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 41.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 24.3% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.