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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+2.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+1.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.92+1.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73-0.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83-1.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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3.08Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.04Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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3.71Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 20.2% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 32.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 21.1% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 23.1% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.8% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.