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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.97vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+6.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+3.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+3.65vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.39+3.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-2.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-2.06vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-2.72vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.48-5.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.60vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-2.87vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.07-3.34vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.13Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.66Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.21Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Corey Hall | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 20.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 25.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.