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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.42+11.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.18+6.84vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+2.77vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+4.84vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84+6.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+2.91vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09+1.27vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97+0.72vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.64-5.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.31-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.74-0.39vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-6.39vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-5.34vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-3.35vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.77-10.75vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.12University of Rhode Island0.421.8%1st Place
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6.27Brown University1.9910.8%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy1.184.4%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University1.799.6%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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12.96Christopher Newport University-0.841.4%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.6%1st Place
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9.27North Carolina State University1.094.8%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University0.974.0%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University2.6415.5%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
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11.61University of Washington0.743.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston1.819.5%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.095.0%1st Place
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11.65Jacksonville University0.482.2%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania1.779.6%1st Place
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14.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Coughlin | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.