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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+2.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+1.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+0.69vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.92+0.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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3.82Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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2.94Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 20.4% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 20.6% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 32.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 22.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 23.9% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.