← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.83+1.95vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.30+1.65vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31+0.67vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.73-0.94vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.62-1.64vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.92-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
-
3.65Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.67Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.06Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
-
3.36Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
-
4.3Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 23.1% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 16.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 22.3% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 17.5% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.