← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.62+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.83+0.91vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.73+0.03vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.31-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.92-0.66vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.30-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
-
2.91Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
-
3.03Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
-
3.7Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.34Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
-
3.73Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 17.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 25.0% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 22.2% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 35.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.