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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+2.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.83+0.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+0.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62-0.78vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.20vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.92-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.9Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.8Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.27Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 20.4% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 24.6% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.1% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 19.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.