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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.84vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.72+1.42vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.78+3.90vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.26+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-1.38vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18-1.68vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68-1.35vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.23-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.64-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.2Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.42University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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7.9The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.54The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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6.54University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.32Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.65The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.79Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.45University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 30.4% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Prause | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 19.3% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Parker | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 8.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 23.9% | 52.4% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 33.1% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.