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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.85vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.55vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+1.23vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72-0.64vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.23+2.75vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.68+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.26-1.47vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.18-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-4.33vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.64-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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3.55The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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4.23Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.88The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.36University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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8.75Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.51The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.53University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.45Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.47University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 29.4% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 18.7% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Prause | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Ian Street | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Henry Parker | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 23.6% | 21.0% | 8.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 22.3% | 53.3% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 34.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.