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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+3.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.72+1.41vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.23+3.72vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11-2.46vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-1.36vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18-1.59vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.26-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.64-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.41University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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7.88The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.72Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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3.54The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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5.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.41Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.45University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.7% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Prause | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 19.4% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| John Cole McGee | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 8.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 23.5% | 52.9% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 33.0% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.