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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+4.75vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.57vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+1.22vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72-0.65vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.68+1.57vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.18-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.26-1.45vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.78-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.79-0.05vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.23-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.64-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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3.57The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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4.22Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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2.79North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.35University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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7.57The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.35Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.88The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.73Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.43University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 17.9% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 30.2% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 14.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Prause | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 9.3% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 2.7% |
| Christine Moore | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 23.7% | 51.9% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.