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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.84vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+2.20vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.11+0.57vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+0.60vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.23+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.26-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72-3.69vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68-1.32vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.78-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.64-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.2Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.57The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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6.48Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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8.78Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.56University of North Carolina-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.31University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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7.68The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.79The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.41University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 29.2% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 18.2% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Street | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Robert Prause | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 8.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 32.6% | 34.9% |
| Christine Moore | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 24.5% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.