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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+3.20vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.50vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.52vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.26-0.53vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.78-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.79+1.36vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.68-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+1.51vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.64-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-2.56-1.33vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-1.23-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.5The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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6.52Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.88North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.47University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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5.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.47University of North Carolina-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.89The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.82The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.93University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Tennessee-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.92Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 19.9% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 28.1% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 10.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Prause | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
| Henry Parker | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 24.6% | 42.7% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 26.9% |
| Crispin Martin | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 26.2% | 22.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.