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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+3.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+5.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+4.46vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+7.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.85+0.87vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70+4.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.34-0.57vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.12+2.99vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.70+2.95vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-3.74vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.45-3.18vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-4.94vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.26-5.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.83-7.87vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.17-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Stanford University2.8914.9%1st Place
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7.45Boston College2.588.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.067.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Miami1.932.7%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.8511.9%1st Place
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10.14Jacksonville University1.703.5%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.6%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.346.8%1st Place
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11.99North Carolina State University1.122.5%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston2.386.2%1st Place
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13.95University of Wisconsin0.701.1%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.7%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida1.452.9%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University1.624.7%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University1.263.7%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University1.834.5%1st Place
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17.01University of Texas-1.170.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chase Decker | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 28.8% | 11.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Tenrreiro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.