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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+6.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.61vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84+6.99vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79-0.30vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97+1.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.99-3.76vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.48+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.36-0.08vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.74-2.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.42-3.76vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.31-8.27vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Stanford University2.6416.3%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida1.095.7%1st Place
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6.67College of Charleston1.819.2%1st Place
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9.43George Washington University1.074.7%1st Place
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6.61University of Pennsylvania1.779.5%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University1.798.9%1st Place
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9.79Old Dominion University0.974.8%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy1.183.8%1st Place
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6.24Brown University1.999.4%1st Place
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11.59Jacksonville University0.482.2%1st Place
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11.92University of Wisconsin0.362.6%1st Place
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9.19North Carolina State University1.094.8%1st Place
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11.45University of Washington0.742.9%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island0.422.3%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University1.315.8%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 17.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.