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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+3.22vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.72+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+1.73vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-2.22vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.26+0.53vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.18-0.63vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.23+0.76vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.78-1.11vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.68-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.64-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.59The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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4.39University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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5.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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2.78North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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6.53University of North Carolina-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.37Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.76Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.89The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.58The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.42University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 13.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 18.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.8% | 23.4% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| Robert Prause | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 7.9% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 13.4% | 31.5% | 35.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 24.6% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.