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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+5.46vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+2.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.18vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.26+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72-2.69vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.23+0.74vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.78-1.13vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.68-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.79-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.64-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.6The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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5.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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2.82North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.14Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.54University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.31University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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8.74Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.87The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.59The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.41University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 17.2% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.9% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Robert Prause | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 8.0% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 31.5% | 35.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 10.4% | 24.8% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.