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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.23+3.90vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.93vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+1.60vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.06-0.55vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.07vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.84-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-2.07vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.90-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.76-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.40-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.93The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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3.57The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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5.6University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.45Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.15The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.44Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.93University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.98Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.9University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finch | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 16.9% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 21.3% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Felicity Davies | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Max Braun | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Eli Perl | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 30.7% | 28.9% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 21.9% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.