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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+2.92vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.23+2.86vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.60vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.06+0.48vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+1.21vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.75-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.43-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.51-4.49vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.76-0.23vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.90-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.40-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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4.86North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.6The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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4.48Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.28Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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8.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.17The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.51University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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10.77University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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9.28Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 18.6% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.0% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Camden Hom | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eli Perl | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 29.9% | 25.1% |
| Max Braun | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 7.2% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.