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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+2.92vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.23+2.88vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+1.59vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.06-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+2.33vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.84-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.08vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.75-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-2.11vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.90-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.76-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.40-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.58The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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5.59University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.43Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.34Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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8.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.24The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.89University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.96Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.91University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 1.8% |
| Camden Hom | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alana Vodicka | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Max Braun | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Eli Perl | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 30.8% | 28.7% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 21.5% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.