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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.23+3.93vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.75+4.23vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.59vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.06+0.47vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-0.51vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.84-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.33vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.90+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-3.05vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.76-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.40-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.23The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.59The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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4.47Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.88The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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5.49University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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6.34Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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8.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.1Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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7.91University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.91University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finch | 11.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Camden Hom | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.0% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 13.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Max Braun | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 4.8% |
| Alana Vodicka | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Eli Perl | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 29.4% | 28.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 22.1% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.