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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+2.92vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.23+2.93vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.06+1.45vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.75+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.51+0.50vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34-2.42vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.84-0.65vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.90+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-2.11vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.76-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.40-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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4.93North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.45Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.21The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.5University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.58The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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6.35Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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9.03Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.89University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.92University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 17.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 21.1% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Max Braun | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Eli Perl | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 30.1% | 28.2% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 21.4% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.