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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.06+3.53vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.23+2.82vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+1.69vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75+1.45vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+1.42vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.90+1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.49+1.91vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-1.73vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.84-4.29vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.76-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-3.40-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.82North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.88The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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5.69University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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6.45The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.71The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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8.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.35Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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8.27University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.71Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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8.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.36University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Reichhelm | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 18.4% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.2% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Max Braun | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 14.8% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Eli Perl | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 25.6% | 22.8% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.