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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+7.37vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.90vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.59vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.51+0.49vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.05vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.84-1.64vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.06-4.52vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.90-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.76-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-3.40-0.15vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.43-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.9The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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3.59The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.49University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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6.14The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.36Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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4.48Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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9.05Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.75University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.09University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicity Davies | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 21.5% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Camden Hom | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Braun | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 6.8% |
| Eli Perl | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 31.0% | 24.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 59.9% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.