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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.51+3.60vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.06+1.47vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+3.02vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.23-1.22vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.84-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.33vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.75-2.76vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.90-0.97vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.76-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-3.40-0.13vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.43-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9The Citadel0.200.2%1st Place
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5.6University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.47Clemson University-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.59The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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8.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.78North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.32Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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8.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.24The Citadel-0.750.1%1st Place
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9.03Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.77University of North Carolina-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.07University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 17.9% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 20.5% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Will Finch | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Camden Hom | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Max Braun | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Eli Perl | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 30.6% | 24.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 60.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.