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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+5.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+2.89vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+6.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.30vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+3.17vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09+1.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.72vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.74+1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.42+1.13vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.14vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-7.20vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-3.94vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.31-8.35vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69College of Charleston1.8110.2%1st Place
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4.89Stanford University2.6415.1%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Pennsylvania1.779.9%1st Place
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6.3Brown University1.9910.0%1st Place
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9.17North Carolina State University1.094.1%1st Place
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8.69University of South Florida1.096.5%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.183.5%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University0.974.2%1st Place
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11.48University of Washington0.743.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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12.84Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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6.8Cornell University1.799.3%1st Place
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11.86Jacksonville University0.482.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin0.362.3%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University1.315.7%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.