← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.50+6.99vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.22+7.18vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.27+5.92vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.48+3.73vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.79+1.56vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College3.33+2.44vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.50+0.72vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.52vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.39-0.89vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.67-2.73vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.55vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.21+1.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.86-2.74vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.23-5.44vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.11-1.70vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University2.07-3.37vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island3.02-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.99Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.18College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
8.92Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.44Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
8.11Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
13.26Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.26University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
8.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.3Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
13.63Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.57University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 20.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 23.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.