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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.35vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.33vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.52+0.35vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.61-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.11Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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2.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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4.35Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.52Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 30.5% | 27.3% | 23.1% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Yuen | 36.3% | 30.3% | 21.4% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 20.4% | 24.7% | 28.7% | 19.7% | 6.5% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 63.5% |
| Olivia Cross | 9.1% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 35.2% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.