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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.32vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.61-0.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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2.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.51Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.33Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 37.6% | 27.8% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 29.2% | 28.8% | 25.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 21.6% | 23.2% | 26.3% | 23.1% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Cross | 8.3% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 33.8% | 23.5% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 17.9% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.