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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.67vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.61+1.50vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.65vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.52+0.34vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.33-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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2.35SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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4.34Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
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2.14Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Bittmann | 22.9% | 22.5% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 8.5% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 35.0% | 22.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 29.6% | 28.0% | 23.7% | 14.8% | 3.9% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 20.7% | 62.9% |
| Alexander Yuen | 35.7% | 30.2% | 21.5% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.