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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.33+1.17vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.66vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.61+0.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.66vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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2.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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2.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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4.34Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 36.3% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 20.6% | 25.8% | 26.9% | 20.4% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Cross | 10.5% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 37.1% | 22.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 29.0% | 28.9% | 24.7% | 14.3% | 3.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.