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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.38vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.33+0.10vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.32vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.61-0.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.1Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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2.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.51Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.33Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 29.9% | 26.9% | 23.5% | 15.1% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Yuen | 37.3% | 29.1% | 21.4% | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 21.4% | 23.4% | 26.7% | 22.6% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Cross | 7.9% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 34.0% | 23.8% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 17.9% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.