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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.68vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.61+0.50vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.33-1.91vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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2.09Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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4.34Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 28.9% | 27.5% | 24.3% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 19.8% | 25.4% | 28.3% | 20.4% | 6.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 9.8% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 37.8% | 21.9% |
| Alexander Yuen | 38.2% | 28.9% | 20.6% | 10.1% | 2.2% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.