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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.38vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.70vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.33-0.90vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.61-0.50vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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2.1Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.33Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 28.7% | 28.4% | 23.7% | 14.6% | 4.6% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 20.1% | 24.8% | 26.8% | 21.8% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Yuen | 38.8% | 28.3% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 8.9% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 34.7% | 23.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.