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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.68vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.66vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.61-0.50vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.52-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Columbia University-0.330.4%1st Place
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2.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.2%1st Place
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2.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.33Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 37.3% | 28.3% | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 20.2% | 25.1% | 27.2% | 21.1% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 30.5% | 27.9% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 8.3% | 12.7% | 22.5% | 33.5% | 23.0% |
| Elliot Taft | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.