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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+5.00vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+4.19vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.55+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.13vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-1.38vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.26vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.41-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.32-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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8.0University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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7.72Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.36Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 28.2% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Max Case | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.