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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.61vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+9.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.69vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+0.89vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09+0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+0.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.74+0.64vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-5.69vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.07-3.34vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-2.05vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.97-5.23vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-4.12vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.42-4.81vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Stanford University2.6416.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania1.7710.8%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston1.818.8%1st Place
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13.02Christopher Newport University-0.841.7%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy1.185.1%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.796.9%1st Place
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9.25North Carolina State University1.094.7%1st Place
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8.61University of South Florida1.095.9%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.8%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University1.315.8%1st Place
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11.64University of Washington0.742.3%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.9910.1%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University1.074.0%1st Place
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11.95Jacksonville University0.482.2%1st Place
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9.77Old Dominion University0.974.9%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin0.362.8%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island0.422.0%1st Place
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14.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.5% |
| Ava Farley | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.