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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.55+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.70+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+2.85vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.32+2.02vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.64-2.55vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-4.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.86vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.41-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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7.81University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.74Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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6.45California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.33Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.5% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Grant Janov | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Noah Barton | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Max Case | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 32.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| George Soliman | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.