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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.32+7.24vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.55+3.81vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.71-1.61vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.59-3.58vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.41-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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6.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.42Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.32Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.6% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 34.9% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Kyle Farmer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| George Soliman | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| Noah Barton | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Max Case | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.