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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.99vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.55+0.61vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.32+1.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.71-2.71vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.41-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.73California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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7.61University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
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7.66Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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7.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.38Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 28.6% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 35.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.