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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+3.32vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.70-1.69vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.55-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.19vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.41-2.08vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.24-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.32-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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6.37California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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7.32Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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7.92Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 28.9% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Grant Janov | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| George Soliman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Max Case | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 26.7% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.