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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.95vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.59+5.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.43vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64+1.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.82vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.41-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.50-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.32-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-4.14vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.55-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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7.52Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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6.49California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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7.17University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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7.86Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 28.7% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Grant Janov | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Max Case | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 26.4% |
| Noah Barton | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 26.1% |
| George Soliman | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.