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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.95vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.50+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.58vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.32+0.92vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.41-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.55-3.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.24-2.18vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.51California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.38Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.95Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 29.6% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Grant Janov | 13.3% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| George Soliman | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 29.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 27.0% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.