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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.58+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.81vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.36vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43-2.50vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.90-2.01vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.01-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.99Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.26Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 19.0% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Roth | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 9.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 29.3% |
| Florence Duff | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.