← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.15+3.48vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.83vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.43+2.41vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-0.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.55+2.91vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-0.43+1.56vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.58-2.14vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-3.18vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.90-0.20vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.58vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-1.01-1.79vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.48University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
-
4.73University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.41University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.49California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.86University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
9.8Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
10.21Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 14.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 19.7% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Roth | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| Marlo Bozza | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Colin Olson | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 26.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.