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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43+3.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-1.46vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.58-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.09vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-1.06vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.94Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.95Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 20.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Maxwell Roth | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Colin Olson | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Marlo Bozza | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 21.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 21.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.