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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+7.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+8.28vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+5.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.42+5.92vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.64-2.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82+2.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-3.03vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-4.56vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-3.52vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.31-1.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-5.38vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.30vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-6.34vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston1.819.2%1st Place
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11.28University of Washington0.742.5%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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5.91University of Pennsylvania1.7711.3%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University2.6416.7%1st Place
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10.05Jacksonville University0.824.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy1.185.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University1.698.2%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University1.7910.7%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.094.9%1st Place
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12.0Roger Williams University0.491.7%1st Place
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12.66University of Wisconsin0.311.8%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.5%1st Place
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12.7Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University0.683.8%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Ava Farley | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
| Megan Geith | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.