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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+7.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+6.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+4.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+2.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+1.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.02vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-0.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-2.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21+1.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.76vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.07-1.18vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.50vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-2.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.21-1.34vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.32Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.74Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.82Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.66U. S. Naval Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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10.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| Laura Burzenski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 50.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.